Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 28 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
#Bitcoin has lost its uptrend on the lower timeframes. This could indicate that we're going to see $60,000-61,000 before we're continuing to be moving upwards. Overall; markets continue to be range-bound and have low volatility due to the summer break. Main events coming up: - FOMC tomorrow evening. - Clarity Act vote during next week. The structure remains intact, which means that I think that we're still in for higher grounds, however, it shouldn't fall sub $61,000 and preferably flips back upwards tomorrow after FOMC.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “Oil is dropping hard, which means great signs for the markets. It's about time to see a strong breakout on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/yoG0DjzPHb”Repeat28 Jul 2026, 16:46 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “The structure remains intact, which means that I think that we're still in for higher grounds”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.8-flash · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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