Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 26 Jul 2026, 18:04 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 26 Jul 2026, 15:55 UTC · context given to the AI
BREAKING: 14% chance Bitcoin hits $100,000 this year 3% chance it happens next month https://t.co/NrU5BhpmbxThey’re selling $1.00 for $0.86. No new all time highs until 2027. https://t.co/ZEe2dVOJA0View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “No new all time highs until 2027.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "until 2027"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.8-flash · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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