Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 26 Jul 2026, 16:32 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
In reply to · 26 Jul 2026, 15:17 UTC · context given to the AI
the obvious longs to me are $VVV and that's about it right now. $KAITO is also on the list but everything else is mostly chopping around and no clear trend that I can see.@AltcoinSherpa The most obvious longs to me are $ETH and $AAVE.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,915 at 26 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,939 at 27 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1938.6 / 1914.59 − 1 = +1.25%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.25%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “The most obvious longs to me are $ETH and $AAVE.”
- Confidence
- 85%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.8-flash · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $1,915
- Evaluation price
- $1,939
- Move
- +1.25%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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