Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 26 Jul 2026, 13:02 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Bitcoin Will Hit A $10 TRILLION Market Cap - @Scaramucci https://t.co/K8OAq5EZor https://t.co/XQWdrlzQWoView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,466 at 26 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,162 at 27 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 65161.65 / 64466.46 − 1 = +1.08%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.08%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin Will Hit A $10 TRILLION Market Cap”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $64,466
- Evaluation price
- $65,162
- Move
- +1.08%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0