Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 23 Jul 2026, 14:01 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 23 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin ETFs Buy $900 Million in Longest Streak Since October https://t.co/yyWIXaq4Ze"All of the things that we kind of thought we needed Clarity for, it turns out people are kind of figuring it out anyway" Ian Weisberger, CEO of CoinRoutes, on why the crypto market may not actually need the Clarity Act "It would be amazing for just price action if it passed. But from brass tacks, does the crypto market in the US actually need it? I think it's less so, because people are kind of starting to do this stuff anyway" "You have Kalshi, I was just in their office, they have perps regulated in the US. If you had asked me a year ago whether that was going to happen without Clarity, I would have said no" "So from a medium to long term, I don't think it matters. But from a short term price action perspective, if it passes obviously the price is going to go up"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “But from a short term price action perspective, if it passes obviously the price is going to go up”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "short term"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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