Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jul 2026, 14:01 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 23 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin ETFs Buy $900 Million in Longest Streak Since October https://t.co/yyWIXaq4Ze
"All of the things that we kind of thought we needed Clarity for, it turns out people are kind of figuring it out anyway" Ian Weisberger, CEO of CoinRoutes, on why the crypto market may not actually need the Clarity Act "It would be amazing for just price action if it passed. But from brass tacks, does the crypto market in the US actually need it? I think it's less so, because people are kind of starting to do this stuff anyway" "You have Kalshi, I was just in their office, they have perps regulated in the US. If you had asked me a year ago whether that was going to happen without Clarity, I would have said no" "So from a medium to long term, I don't think it matters. But from a short term price action perspective, if it passes obviously the price is going to go up"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“But from a short term price action perspective, if it passes obviously the price is going to go up”
Confidence
80%
Review state
needs review · Unsupported horizon: "short term"
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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