Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 22 Jul 2026, 12:51 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Bitcoin Just Cleared Its BIGGEST Hurdle - Rally NOT DONE? | Live From Out East Summit Discussing with @Joshua_Frank_ @ 9 AM EST🔥 https://t.co/RAKMTeyRWa https://t.co/2whJOH7N4QView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,586 at 22 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,123 at 23 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 65123.03 / 65586 − 1 = -0.71%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.71%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin Just Cleared Its BIGGEST Hurdle - Rally NOT DONE?”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $65,586
- Evaluation price
- $65,123
- Move
- -0.71%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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