Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Jul 2026, 02:14 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

K A L E O

@CryptoKaleo

Quoting · 20 Jul 2026, 23:45 UTC · context given to the AI

JUST IN: Arthur Hayes buys $2.5M worth of Ethereum

#Ethereum / $ETH Pump to ~$2300 through mid August Retrace and make new lows near $1200 in September Run it back in October https://t.co/bWh96dysk7 https://t.co/aklqeyoklu

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Pump to ~$2300 through mid August”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: needs review · Unsupported horizon: "through mid August"
Model / prompt: gemini-3.8-flash · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.25%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

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