Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Jul 2026, 00:25 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Think we see a nice little weekend pump from Bitcoin and ETH this weekend. Which means the rest of the crypto market sends even harder.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,840 at 18 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $1,859 at 25 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC.
r = 1858.51 / 1839.82 − 1 = +1.02%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.02%against a neutral band of ±3.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 7 days (stated in post)
- Evidence span
- “Think we see a nice little weekend pump from Bitcoin and ETH this weekend.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.8-flash · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,840
- Evaluation price
- $1,859
- Move
- +1.02%
- Neutral threshold
- ±3.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0