Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 16 Jul 2026, 15:16 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 16 Jul 2026, 13:30 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin's Biggest Bill Is in Trouble - Trump Has 20 Days to Save It https://t.co/ihsSgLm7C1"This is actually a bear market business. You're one of the few people that's probably exceptionally well positioned while Bitcoin is trading here, near a bottom" "This would be much worse if you did it and Bitcoin was at 126 and dropped to 50" "But anyone you convince to participate in this now, if you believe that Bitcoin will rise out of this as it always has in the past, you're gonna get a massive benefit from doing it now and watching that Bitcoin go up instead of go down"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “if you believe that Bitcoin will rise out of this as it always has in the past, you're gonna get a massive benefit from doing it now and watching that Bitcoin go up instead of go down”
- Confidence
- 60%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (60%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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